PUBLISHED PAPERS #34

Ramin RZAYEV, Emil AHMADOV.
Analysis of the features of the practical application of some methods for traffic prediction
Abstract. The article analyses the problem of practical modelling of traffic flows within the existing road infrastructure of an urban agglomeration. As a methodological basis for predictive analytics, well-studied extrapolation methods for constructing matrices of interborough movements and making forecasts based on them are considered. The features of the practical application of extrapolation methods by a single growth coefficient, average growth coefficients, Detroit and Fratara approaches are analysed. As a result of the analysis of methods and models for constructing correspondence matrices in relation to the transport system of the urban agglomeration, the disadvantages and advantages of the above extrapolation methods are revealed.
Keywords: transport system; traffic flow; correspondence matrix; extrapolation methods
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.54381/plmo2023.34